Professor Bleddyn Davies

Emeritus Professor of Social Policy, OBE

TH.QS.YAR@AYG1SP.2@

020 7955 6212

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Research Interests

Professor Davies' work focuses on equity, efficiency and the reform of community care. Two main themes have been targeting and service productivities and efficiencies. Another has been the development of care management, the focus on which he introduced to the UK through a set of experiments four books and numerous papers during the 1970s and early1980s.

A fourth has been financing mechanisms and reforms of long-term care in other countries. Another activity has been working with the team developing models for the long-run projection of demand and supply in long-term care. His main work currently is working with José Fernández to finish a book on use of community social services and their targeting, and a book on how differences in local authority priorities, other policies structures and endowments affect utilisation and efficiency.

He was awarded an OBE for his services to social science and social policy, and he is an Academician of the Academy of Learned Societies in the Social Sciences, and a Fellow of the Gerontological Society of America.

He lectured in economics in the University of Wales and in social policy at the LSE before founding the PSSRU in 1974 to study issues of equity and efficiency in community and long-term care by developing and applying a 'production of welfare approach.

Professor Davies has worked and been the author of books focusing on the theory of territorial justice (which he established with three books written in the 1960s), social and economic consequences of gambling, the mitigation of child poverty, and the economics of higher education.

Professor Davies was recently awarded the American Public Health Association Gerontological Health Section's International Lifetime Achievement Award 2007.

Since founding the PSSRU in 1974 to study issues of equity and efficiency in community and long-term care by developing and applying a 'production of welfare approach, Professor Davies' work has increasingly focused on equity, efficiency and the reform of community care. Two main themes have been targeting and service productivities and efficiencies. Equity and Efficiency Policy: Needs, Service Productivities, Efficiencies and their Implications, written with José Fernandez, is a recent example, a sequel to Resources Needs and Outcomes in Community-Based Care, having the same focus and being based on a collection with the same design.

Professor Davies was awarded an OBE for his services to social science and social policy, and he is an Academician of the Academy of Learned Societies in the Social Sciences, and a Fellow of the Gerontological Society of America.

Bleddyn Davies' Publications

Journal Articles

Journal Article

Debate: Public spending levels for social care of older people: why we must call in the debt (2007)

Davies B

Policy and Politics 35, 4, 719-726

Journal Article

Le livre vert de l'Angleterre sur les services sociaux pour les adultes: indépendance, bien-être et choix (2007)

Davies B

Retraite et Société 47, 194-200

Journal Article

Securing good care for older people: Taking a long-term view (2007)

Davies B

Ageing Horizons 6, 12-27

Journal Article

Demand for long-term care for older people in England to 2031 (2001)

Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

Health Statistics Quarterly , 12, 5-17

Journal Article

Relying on informal care in the new century? Informal care for elderly people in England to 2031 (2000)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

Ageing and Society 20, 6, 745-772

Journal Article

Social welfare and economics: Lessons of the reforms of British community care for elderly people (1999)

Davies B

Journal of the Japan Society for Healthcare Administration 36, 1, 87-95

Journal Article

Equity and efficiency in community care: From muddle to model and model to ? (1997)

Davies B

Policy and Politics 25, 4, 337-359

Journal Article

Proposals for financing community and long-term care in the UK (1997)

Wittenberg R, Davies B, Pickard L

The Gerontologist 37, 347

Journal Article

Are post-reform British patterns of utilization of community care services more defensible? (1997)

Davies B

The Gerontologist 37, Special Issue 1, 347

Journal Article

Has increasing service inputs per client improved equity and efficiency in UK community care? (1997)

Fernández J-L, Davies B

The Gerontologist 37, 345

Journal Article

How does case management improve efficiency? Effects of case management inputs on the impacts of home care service inputs (1996)

Davies B, Chesterman J

Hong Kong Journal of Gerontology 10, Suppl, 255-259

Journal Article

Case management, other community care costs, needs and outcomes (1996)

Davies B, Warburton R, Fernández J-L

Hong Kong Journal of Gerontology 10, Suppl, 250-254

Journal Article

Post-reform community care for elderly people: who gets how much of what service? (1996)

Davies B, Fernández J-L, Warburton R

Care Plan, Care Management Practice Series No. 2 3, 2, 25-30

Journal Article

Do different case management approaches affect who gets what? Preliminary results from a comparative British study (1995)

Davies B, Milne A, Warburton R

Care Plan, Care Management Practice Series No. 2 2, 2, 26-30

Journal Article

Case management for elderly people: the Kent Community Care Project (the `KCCP') and its descendants in their international context (1995)

Davies B

Hong Kong Journal of Gerontology 9, 1, 33-43

Journal Article

Maintaining the pressure in community care reform (1994)

Davies B

Social Policy and Administration 28, 3, 197-205

Journal Article

Improving equity and efficiency in British community care (1994)

Davies B, Knapp M

Social Policy and Administration 28, 3, 263-285

Journal Article

La dépendance en Europe: assistance institutionnelle et familiale (1994)

Davies B

Retraite et Société 5, 39-40

Journal Article

Caring for the frail elderly: an international perspective (1993)

Davies B

Generations 17, 4, 51-54

Journal Article

Case management in British community care: could it and will it succeed? (1993)

Davies B

Hong Kong Journal of Gerontology 7, 2, 17-21

Journal Article

La réforme des soins communautaires - création et mise en oeuvre d'une politique nationale: du désordre au modèle et du modèle au ... (1993)

Davies B

Gérontologie et Société 67, 112-26

Journal Article

British home and community care: research-based critiques and the challenge of the new policy (1993)

Davies B

Social Science and Medicine 38, 7, 883-903

Journal Article

On the sensitivity of needs estimates to targeting criteria (1993)

Davies B

International Journal of Health Sciences 4, 4, 157-167

Journal Article

Efficient targeting of community care: the case of the home help service (1993)

Bebbington A, Davies B

Journal of Social Policy 22, 3, 373-391

Journal Article

Case management and the social services: on breeding the best chameleons (1992)

Davies B

Generations Review 2, 2, 18-22

Journal Article

The social production of welfare and consumption of social services (1991)

Netten A, Davies B

Journal of Public Policy 10, 3

Journal Article

Social services in the city: context change, service response and service outcomes (1990)

Davies B

The Statistician 39

Journal Article

Why we must fight the eighth deadly sin: parochialism (1989)

Davies B

Journal of Aging and Social Policy 1

Journal Article

Financing long-term social care: challenges for the nineties (1988)

Davies B

Social Policy and Administration 22, 2, 97-114

Journal Article

Introduction: the production of welfare approach: some new PSSRU arguments and results (1988)

Davies B, Knapp M

British Journal of Social Work 18, Supplement, 1-11

Journal Article

Review article: making a reality of community care (1988)

Davies B

British Journal of Social Work 18, 173-187

Journal Article

Heineken and matching processes in the Thanet Community Care Project: an empirical test of their relative importance (1988)

Davies B, Missiakoulis S

British Journal of Social Work 18, 55-78

Journal Article

Long-term care at home for the elderly: a four-year follow-up (1988)

Chesterman J, Challis D, Davies B

British Journal of Social Work 18, 43-53

Journal Article

Review of private lives in public places: a research-based critique of residential life in local authority old people's homes (1987)

Davies B

The Times Higher Education Supplement , 15

Journal Article

Equity and efficiency in community care: supply and financing in an age of fiscal austerity (1987)

Davies B

Ageing and Society 7, 2

Journal Article

American lessons for British policy and research on long-term care of the elderly (1986)

Davies B

Quarterly Journal of Social Affairs 2, 3

Journal Article

Long term care for the elderly: the community care scheme (1985)

Challis D, Davies B

British Journal of Social Work 15, 6

Journal Article

Decentralised budgeting and care for the elderly (1985)

Challis D, Davies B

Public Money 5, 3, 21-24

Journal Article

Home care of the frail elderly: matching resources to needs (1984)

Challis D, Davies B

Home Health Care Services Quarterly 3, 4, 89-108

Journal Article

Models of innovation in the social care of the elderly (1984)

Ferlie E, Challis D, Davies B

Local Government Studies , 67-82

Journal Article

Patterns of efficiency-improving innovation: social care and the elderly (1984)

Davies B, Ferlie E

Policy and Politics 12, 3, 281-295

Journal Article

Territorial need indicators: a reply (1983)

Bebbington A, Davies B

Journal of Social Policy 12, 2, 246-250

Journal Article

Equity and efficiency in the allocation of personal social services (1983)

Davies B, Bebbington A

Journal of Social Policy 12, 3, 309-330

Journal Article

Towards a territorial cost function for the home help service (1981)

Davies B, Coles O

Social Policy and Administration 15, 1, 32-42

Journal Article

Electoral support, bureaucratic criteria, cost variations and intra-authority allocations: a home help case (1981)

Davies B, Coles O

Political Studies 29, 3, 415-425

Journal Article

A new approach to community care for the elderly (1980)

Challis D, Davies B

British Journal of Social Work 10, 1

Journal Article

Efficiency promoting innovation in social care social services departments and the elderly (1980)

Davies B, Ferlie E

Policy and Politics 10, 2, 181-203

Journal Article

Experimenting with new roles in domiciliary service: the Kent Community Care Project (1980)

Davies B, Challis D

The Gerontologist 20, 3, 288-299

Journal Article

Territorial need indicators: a new approach (1980)

Bebbington A, Davies B

Journal of Social Policy 9, 2 & 4, 145-68 & 433-62

Journal Article

Area management: long on promise, short on achievement: a review of R. Hambledon, `Policy Planning in Local Government' (1979)

Davies B

Journal of Social Policy 8, 2

Journal Article

Social workers and client numbers (1979)

Bebbington A, Davies B, Coles O

British Journal of Social Work 9, 1, 93-100

Journal Article

Hotel and dependency costs of residents in old people's homes (1978)

Davies B, Knapp M

Journal of Social Policy 7, 1, 1-22

Journal Article

Social service studies and the explanation of policy outcomes (1977)

Davies B

Policy and Politics 5, 3, 41-59

Journal Article

The 'silting up' of unadjustable resources and the planning of the personal social services (1973)

Davies B, Barton A

Policy and Politics 1, 4, 341-355

Journal Article

Variations in the provision of local authority health and welfare services: a comparison between counties and county boroughs (1971)

Davies B

Social and Economic Administration , 100-124

Journal Article

Some constraints on school meal policy (1971)

Davies B

Social and Economic Administration , 34-52

Journal Article

Welfare departments and territorial justice: some implications for the reform of local government (1969)

Davies B

Social and Economic Administration , 235-252

Journal Article

Local authority size: some associations with standards of performance of services for deprived children and old people (1969)

Davies B

Public Administration , Summer, 225-248

Journal Article

The future of local government statistics (1968)

Davies B

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A 131, 1

Journal Article

School meals - short-fall and poverty (1968)

Davies B, Williamson J

Social and Economic Administration , 3-19

Journal Article

Local authority management and adaptability (1965)

Davies B

The Lancet

Books

Book

Fair effective and efficient targeting in community care: implications of need utilisation productivity and efficiency patterns (2005)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

Ashgate

Book

Equity and Efficiency Policy in Community Care. Needs, Service Productivities, Efficiencies and their Implications (2000)

Davies B, Fernández J-L, Nomer B

Ashgate

Book

Caring for Older People: An Assessment of Community Care in the 1990s (2000)

Bauld L, Chesterman J, Davies B, Judge K, Mangalore R

Ashgate

Book

Demand for Long-Term Care: Projections of Long-Term Care Finance for Elderly People (1998)

Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

Personal Social Services Research Unit, University of Kent at Canterbury, London School of Economics and University of Manchester

Book

Community Care in England and France (1998)

Davies B, Fernández J-L, Saunders R

Ashgate

Book

From Vision to Reality: Changing Direction at the Local Level (1997)

Gostick C, Davies B, Lawson R, Salter C

Arena

Book

Resources, Needs and Outcomes in Community-Based Care (1990)

Davies B, Bebbington A, Charnley H

Ashgate

Book

Efficiency-Improving Innovations in the Social Care of the Elderly (1989)

Ferlie E, Challis D, Davies B

Ashgate

Book

Helpers in Case-Managed Community Care (1989)

Qureshi H, Challis D, Davies B

Ashgate

Book

Case Management in Community Care (1986)

Challis D, Davies B

Ashgate

Book

Matching Resources to Needs in Community Care (1986)

Davies B, Challis D

Ashgate

Book

Old People's Homes and the Production of Welfare (1981)

Davies B, Knapp M

Routledge & Kegan Paul

Book

Variations in Children's Services Amongst British Urban Authorities: A Causal Analysis (1972)

Davies B, Barton A, MacMillan I

Bell

Book

Social Needs and Resources in Local Services: A Study of Variations in Provision of Social Services between Local Authority Areas (1968)

Davies B

Joseph Rowntree

Edited Books

Edited Book

Community Care: New Agendas and Challenges from the UK and Overseas (1994)

Challis D, Davies B, Traske K

Ashgate

Edited Book

The Production of Welfare Approach: Evidence and Argument from the PSSRU (1988)

Davies B, Knapp M

Book Sections

Book Section

Delivering effective social/long-term care to older people (2006)

Davies B

Cambridge University Press

Book Section

How care management arrangements affect outcomes (2001)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

British Society of Gerontology

Book Section

The interface between informal and formal care of older people now and over the next 20 years. Paper presented at Health Trends Review. Proceedings of a Conference chaired by Professor Sir Michael Peckham, School of Public Policy, university College London and Dr Melanie Lee, Director of Research and Development, Celltech Group plc, Barbican Centre, London, 18-19 October 2001 (2001)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

HM Treasury

Book Section

Community Care for Frail Older People. Analysis Using the 1998/9 General Household Survey (2001)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

University of Stirling

Book Section

Financing Long-Term Care for Elderly People (2000)

Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L, Darton R, Davies B

School of Health Care

Book Section

Choices! Choices! Techniques for analysing the dilemmas of balancing the interests of stakeholders in community care. (2000)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

School of Health Care

Book Section

Optimising modal choice: what would be the consequences of cost minimisation? (2000)

Fernández J-L, Davies B

School of Health Care

Book Section

Empowerment in post-reform community care in England and Wales (1999)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

Greenwood Publishing

Book Section

The economics of community care case management: arguments from British research (1997)

Davies B

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

Targeting services in UK community care: are the post-reform patterns more defensible? (1997)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

Impact of British community care reforms on outcomes incidence, outcome costs and service productivities (1997)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

How much case management should users have: an economic/econometric analysis based on British experiments (1997)

Davies B, Chesterman J, Fernández J-L

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

Community care and long-term care of elderly people: targeting argument and policy in Australia and the UK (1997)

Howe A, Davies B

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

Alternative strategies for financing community and long-term care: the British debate (1997)

Wittenberg R, Davies B, Pickard L

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

Case management and case coordination in the United Kingdom (1997)

Davies B

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

Forecasting long-term care needs and costs in the UK, Sweden and the Netherlands (1997)

Davies B

World Congress of Gerontology

Book Section

The impact of UK community care reforms on equity and efficiency in targeting services for the elderly (1997)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

Systems Sciences in Health-Social Services for the Elderly and the Disabled (SYSTED)

Book Section

Will similar case management arrangements achieve similar costs of outcomes? Within- and between-project learning in the British Kent Community Care Project and its replications (1996)

Davies B, Chesterman J

American Public Health Association

Book Section

Shelter with care and the community care reforms (1996)

Davies B

Macmillan

Book Section

Production of welfare (1995)

Davies B

Springer Publishing

Book Section

The reform of community and long-term care of elderly persons: an international perspective (1995)

Davies B

Avebury

Book Section

Budget-devolved care management in two routine programmes. Have they improved outcomes? (1994)

Chesterman J, Challis D, Davies B

Ashgate

Book Section

Capitated/premium financed risk-bearing managed care models for community and health care: are they of relevance to the UK? (1994)

Davies B

Helen Hamlyn Foundation

Book Section

Institutional and family support: how inefficiencies can help cope with the dilemmas (1994)

Davies B

CNAVTS

Book Section

Improving the case management process: potential for improving effectiveness and efficiency of care for frail elderly persons (1994)

Davies B

OECD

Book Section

Attitudes to residential care and the subsequent probability of admission: experience of a cohort of new users of community-based social services (1994)

Baines B, Davies B

Ashgate

Book Section

Division of labour and homecare in England (1994)

Davies B

Aldine de Gruyter

Book Section

The effects of care management on efficiency in long-term care: a new evaluation model applied to British and American data (1993)

Davies B, Baines B, Chesterman J

Jessica Kingsley

Book Section

Case management in British community care: could it and will it succeed? (1993)

Davies B

Monduzzi Editore

Book Section

Thinking long in community care (1993)

Davies B

Avebury

Book Section

Costs estimation and community care. Why we must run fast to stand still (1993)

Davies B

Avebury

Book Section

New policies and old logics: costs information and modal choice (1993)

Davies B

Avebury

Book Section

Towards the integration of social and economic rationales in care management (1993)

Davies B

NIG

Book Section

Lessons for case management (1992)

Davies B

Personal Social Services Research Unit, University of Kent

Book Section

Resources, needs and outcomes in community services: why academic caution is useful (1991)

Davies B

Jessica Kingsley Publishers

Book Section

Community care of the elderly: on the evaluation of strategic innovations and change (1991)

Davies B, Baldock J

Campus/Westview

Book Section

Long-term care: service focussed and case management focussed models of care in the UK (1991)

Challis D, Davies B

University of Toronto

Book Section

The UK home help service in England and Wales (1991)

Lawson R, Davies B, Bebbington A

Oxford University Press

Book Section

Evaluating community care (1990)

Davies B

Department of Health

Book Section

Community care in Australia and elsewhere: the future (1990)

Davies B

Monash University Press

Book Section

Comments on the Australian situation: a British perspective (1990)

Davies B

Monash University Press

Book Section

New priorities in home care principles from the PSSRU experiments (1990)

Davies B

Monash University Press

Book Section

The `trade and industry policy' metaphor: the SSD in the post- Griffiths world (1990)

Davies B

Gower

Book Section

Rational funding policies (1989)

Davies B

ASI

Book Section

Costs needs and outcomes in residential and community-based care of the elderly: towards the quantification of optimal targeting criteria (1989)

Davies B

Ecole Nationale de la Santé Publique

Book Section

The community care approach and the development of institutions intermediate between formal and informal care (1988)

Davies B

European Centre for Social Work Training and Research

Book Section

Costs and residential social care (1988)

Davies B, Knapp M

HMSO

Book Section

The new managerialist argument and the supply and financing of care (1987)

Davies B

Croom Helm

Book Section

Epilogue: past achievements and future promise (1986)

Davies B

HMSO

Book Section

A more comprehensive approach to care of the elderly: the community care scheme (1986)

Challis D, Davies B

Columbia University Press

Book Section

American experiments to substitute homes for institutional long-term care: policy logic and evaluation methodology (1986)

Davies B

Croom Helm

Book Section

A more comprehensive approach to care of the elderly: the community care approach (1985)

Challis D, Davies B

Macmillan

Book Section

Innovation in the care of the elderly: the role of joint finance (1985)

Ferlie E, Challis D, Davies B

Croom Helm

Book Section

Cost effectiveness evaluation in social care (1984)

Challis D, Knapp M, Davies B

University of Aberdeen

Book Section

Community care schemes: a development in the home care of the frail elderly (1984)

Challis D, Davies B

Pitman

Book Section

Motivation and rewards of helpers in Kent Community Care Scheme (1983)

Qureshi H, Challis D, Davies B

Volunteer Centre

Book Section

Patterns of social service provision for the elderly: variations between local authorities of England in 1975/76, 1977/78 and 1979/80 (1982)

Bebbington A, Davies B

John Wiley

Book Section

Community care projects: costs and effectiveness (1981)

Challis D, Davies B

INSERM

Book Section

The community care project (1981)

Challis D, Davies B

INSERM

Book Section

A production relations evaluation of the meeting of needs in the community care project (1981)

Davies B, Challis D

Heinemann

Book Section

Strategic goals and piecemeal innovations: adjusting to the new balance of needs and resources (1981)

Davies B

Policy Studies Institute

Book Section

Policy options for charges and means tests (1980)

Davies B

Macmillan

Book Section

Welfare needs and local autonomy (1977)

Davies B

Penguin

Book Section

Needs and outputs (1977)

Davies B

Macmillan

Book Section

Social and economic indicators: the academic's contribution (1976)

Davies B

Standing Committee of Statistics Users

Book Section

Determinants of variation in social service expenditures and the measurement of need: introduction and summary (1975)

Davies B

HMSO

Book Section

The measurement of needs and the allocation of grant (1975)

Davies B

HMSO

Book Section

On local expenditure and a standard level of service (1975)

Davies B

HMSO

Book Section

Territorial injustices in the social services (1975)

Davies B

Fontana

Book Section

Values, needs, and the outputs of local services (1975)

Davies B

Polska Akademia Nauk

Book Section

Causal processes and techniques in the modelling of policy outcomes (1975)

Davies B

Macmillan

Book Section

Notes of LEA provision, Appendix XIV (1967)

Davies B

Magazine Articles

Magazine Article

Checking the aim (1991)

Davies B

Magazine Article

Deciding one's destiny at the drawing board (1989)

Charnley H, Baines B, Bebbington A, Davies B, Lawson R, Netten A, Whitley A

Magazine Article

The cost of residential care (1978)

Knapp M, Davies B

Magazine Article

What differences have the cuts made? (1977)

Bebbington A, Davies B

Magazine Article

The Layfield Report (1976)

Davies B

Magazine Article

Layfield's split vision (1976)

Davies B

Magazine Article

Territorial injustice (1976)

Davies B

Magazine Article

The use of time by academics (1971)

Davies B, Davies K

Magazine Article

The uptake of school meals after the price increase (1970)

Davies B

Magazine Article

The cost-effectiveness of education spending (1968)

Davies B

Magazine Article

School Meals and Plowden (1967)

Davies B, Reddin M

Magazine Article

Planning local health and welfare services: an administrative structure for effective planning (1966)

Davies B

Magazine Article

Planning local health and welfare services: inequality and the correlation of standards with needs (1966)

Davies B

Magazine Article

Planning local health and welfare services: the relative expansion of substitute services (1966)

Davies B

Reports

Report

Funding long-term care for older people. Lessons from other countries (2004)

Glendinning C, Davies B, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A

Report

Care Management, Equity and Efficiency: The International Experience (1992)

Davies B

Personal Social Services Research Unit

Report

Standards setting and the theory of social welfare planning (1974)

Davies B

Report

Quantified theory and planning techniques in social welfare services (1970)

Davies B

Report

The Child Care Services (1968)

Davies B, Barton A, Young K

Report

An index of variations in needs of county boroughs for old people's homes (1964)

Davies B

Project Outlines

Project Outline

Royal Commission Secretariat Meeting With PSSRU - Evaluating Community Care for Elderly People (1998)

Davies B, Fernández J-L

Project Outline

Statistical studies of the determinants of variation in social service standards: a literature review (1975)

Davies B

Project Outline

Planning Resources for the Personal Social Services: the James Seth Memorial Lecture for 1971 (1972)

Davies B

Project Outline