Raphael Wittenberg

Associate Professorial Research Fellow

020 7955 6186

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Research Interests

Raphael Wittenberg is a Associate Professorial Research Fellow at PSSRU at LSE and Deputy Director of the Centre for Health Service Economics and Organisation (CHSEO) at the University of Oxford. At PSSRU, he leads a programme of research on financing long-term care, which aims to make projections of demand for long-term care for older people and associated expenditure to 2041. He also leads research on direct payments in residential care and on community care for older people and leads modelling work for the MODEM study on care for people with dementia. At CHSEO, he leads research on trends in emergency hospital admissions of older people and on economic issues in assets based approaches to health. He was for many years a Senior Economist at the Department of Health, where he led a team of DH analysts providing analysis on social services and mental health services.

Raphael Wittenberg's Publications

Journal Articles

Journal Article

MODEM: A comprehensive approach to modelling outcome and costs impacts of interventions for dementia. Protocol paper (2017)

Comas-Herrera A, Knapp M, Wittenberg R, Banerjee S, Bowling A, Grundy E, Jagger C, Farina N, Lombard D, Lorenz K, McDaid D

BMC Health Services Research 17, 17:25

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Journal Article

The cost of diagnosis and early support in patients with cognitive decline (2016)

Pennington M, Gomes M, Chrysanthaki T, Hendriks J, Wittenberg R, Knapp M, Black N, Smith S

International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry

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Journal Article

Commentary: The impact of Alzheimer's disease in China (2016)

Wittenberg R, Hu B

EBioMedicine 4, 22-23

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Journal Article

Data on Adult Social Care: Scoping Review (2015)

King D, Wittenberg R

British Journal of Social Work

NIHR School for Social Care Research

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Journal Article

The challenge of measuring multi-morbidity and its costs (2015)

Wittenberg R

Israel Journal of Health Policy Research 4, 1

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Journal Article

The role of care home fees in the public costs and distributional effects of potential reforms to care home funding for older people in England (2013)

Hancock R, Malley J, Wittenberg R, Morciano M, Pickard L, King D, Comas-Herrera A

Health, Economics, Policy and Law 8, 1, 47-73

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Journal Article

Mapping the future of family care: receipt of informal care by older people with disabilities in England to 2032 (2012)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas Herrera A, King D, Malley J

Social Policy and Society 11, 4, 533-545

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Journal Article

Methods used to identify and measure resource use in economic evaluations: a systematic review of questionnaires for older people (2012)

Martin A, Jones A, Mugford M, Shemilt I, Hancock R, Wittenberg R

Health Economics 21, 8, 1017-1022

Wiley-Blackwell

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Journal Article

The Effect of Lengthening Life Expectancy on Future Pension and Long-Term Care Expenditure in England, 2007 to 2032 (2011)

Malley J, Hancock R, Adams J, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Curry C, King D, James S, Morciano M, Pickard L

Health Statistics Quarterly 52, 33-61

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Journal Article

Disability, dementia and the future costs of long-term care (2011)

Comas-Herrera A, Malley J, Wittenberg R, Hu B, Jagger C

Eurohealth 17, 2,3, 10-12

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Journal Article

Future costs of dementia-related long-term care: exploring future scenarios (2011)

Comas-Herrera A, Northey S, Wittenberg R, Knapp M, Bhattacharyya S, Burns A

International Psychogeriatrics 23, 1, 20-30

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Journal Article

The long road to universalism?: recent developments in the financing of long-term care in England (2010)

Comas Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L

Social Policy and Administration 44, 4, 375-391

Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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Journal Article

Clinical and cost effectiveness of services for early diagnosis and intervention in dementia (2009)

Banerjee S, Wittenberg R

International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry 24, 7, 748-754

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Journal Article

Projecting long-term care expenditure in four European Union member states: the influence of demographic scenarios (2008)

Costa Font J, Wittenberg R, Paxtot C, Comas Herrera A, Gori C, di Maio A, Pickard L, Pozzi A, Rothgang H

Social Indicators Research 86, 2, 303-321

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Journal Article

Financing long-term care for older people in England (2007)

Wittenberg R, Malley J

Ageing Horizons 6, 28-32

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Journal Article

Winners and losers: Assessing the distributional effects of long-term care funding regimes (2007)

Hancock R, Juarez-Garcia A, Comas-Herrera A, King D, Malley J, Pickard L, Wittenberg R

Social Policy and Society 6, 3, 379-395

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Journal Article

Modelling an entitlement to long-term care services for older people in Europe: projections for long-term care expenditure to 2050 (2007)

Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, Costa-Font J, Gori C, di Maio A, Patxot C, Pozzi A, Rothgang H, Wittenberg R

Journal of European Social Policy 17, 1, 33-48

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Journal Article

Care by spouses, care by children: Projections of informal care for older people in England to 2031 (2007)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, King D, Malley J

Social Policy and Society 6, 3, 353-366

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Journal Article

Cognitive impairment in older people: future demand for long-term care services and the associated costs (2007)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Knapp M, MRC-CFAS

International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry 22, 10, 1037-1045

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Journal Article

Projections of future expenditure on long-term care for older people in England (2006)

Wittenberg R, Malley J, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, King D

Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics S8, 49-53

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Journal Article

Future long-term care expenditure in Germany, Spain, Italy and the United Kingdom (2006)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Costa-Font J, Gori C, di Maio A, Patxot C, Pickard L, Pozzi A, Rothgang H

Ageing and Society 6, 2, 285-302

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Journal Article

Future demand for long-term care in the UK. A summary of projections of long-term care finance for older people to 2051 (2004)

Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L, Hancock R

Newsletter of the Geneva Association of Insurance Economics 11, 2-4

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Journal Article

Who will pay for long-term care in the UK? Projections linking macro- and micro-simulation models (2003)

Hancock R, Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L

Fiscal Studies 24, 4, 387-426

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Journal Article

Demand for long-term care for older people in England to 2031 (2001)

Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

Health Statistics Quarterly , 12, 5-17

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Journal Article

Relying on informal care in the new century? Informal care for elderly people in England to 2031 (2000)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

Ageing and Society 20, 6, 745-772

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Journal Article

Proposals for financing community and long-term care in the UK (1997)

Wittenberg R, Davies B, Pickard L

The Gerontologist 37, 347

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Books

Book

Demand for Long-Term Care: Projections of Long-Term Care Finance for Elderly People (1998)

Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

Personal Social Services Research Unit, University of Kent at Canterbury, London School of Economics and University of Manchester

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Book Sections

Book Section

Survey questions on older people's receipt of, and payment for, formal and unpaid care in the community (2015)

Balarajan M, Blake M, Darton R, Gray M, Hancock R, Pickard L, Wittenberg R,

University of Kent

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Book Section

Social care: need for and receipt of help (2015)

Maplethorpe N, Darton R, Wittenberg R

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Book Section

Survey questions on older people’s receipt of, and payment for, formal and unpaid care in the community (2015)

Balarajan M, Blake M, Darton R, Gray M, Hancock R, Pickard L, Wittenberg R

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Book Section

Social care provision (2014)

Rooney K, Darton R, Wittenberg R

Health and Social Care Information Centre

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Book Section

Social care: need for and receipt of help (2014)

, Darton R, Wittenberg R

Health and Social Care Information Centre

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Book Section

Social care provision (2014)

Rooney K, Darton R, Wittenberg R

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Book Section

Social care: need for and receipt of help (2014)

Thompson J, Wittenberg R, Henderson C, Darton R

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Book Section

Social care: need for and receipt of help (2013)

Thompson J, Wittenberg R, Henderson C, Darton R,

Health and Social Care Information Centre

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Book Section

Social Care (2012)

Craig R, Darton R, Hancock R, Henderson C, Morciano M, Sadler K, Wittenberg R

Health and Social Care Information Centre

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Book Section

Opportunities for Private Long-Term Care Insurance in England: What Can We Learn From Other Countries? (2012)

Comas-Herrera A, Butterfield R, Wittenberg R, Wiener J

Elgar Edwards

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Book Section

Barriers and Opportunities for Private Long-Term Care Insurance in England: What Can We Learn From Other Countries? (2012)

Comas-Herrera A, Butterfield R, Fernández J-L, Wittenberg R, Wiener J

Elgar Edward

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Book Section

From commission to commission: financing long-term care in England (2011)

Comas Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L

Palgarve Macmillan

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Book Section

PSSRU Long-Term Care Finance Model and CARESIM: two linked UK models of long term care for older people (2007)

Wittenberg R, Hancock R, Comas-Herrera A, King D, Malley J, Pickard L, Juarez-Garcia A, Darton R

Elsevier Science

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Book Section

Long-term care for older people in the United Kingdom: structure and challenges (2003)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L

Ashgate

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Book Section

Demand for long-term care in the UK: Projections of long-term care finance for older people to 2051 (2002)

Wittenberg R, Hancock R, Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L

Institute for Public Policy Research

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Book Section

Funding long-term care: the public and private options (2002)

Wittenberg R, Sandhu B, Knapp M

Open University Press

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Book Section

The interface between informal and formal care of older people now and over the next 20 years. Paper presented at Health Trends Review. Proceedings of a Conference chaired by Professor Sir Michael Peckham, School of Public Policy, university College London and Dr Melanie Lee, Director of Research and Development, Celltech Group plc, Barbican Centre, London, 18-19 October 2001 (2001)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

HM Treasury

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Book Section

Community Care for Frail Older People. Analysis Using the 1998/9 General Household Survey (2001)

Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Davies B, Darton R

University of Stirling

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Book Section

Financing Long-Term Care for Elderly People (2000)

Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L, Darton R, Davies B

School of Health Care

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Book Section

Economics of long-term care finance (1999)

Wittenberg R

The Stationery Office

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Book Section

Alternative strategies for financing community and long-term care: the British debate (1997)

Wittenberg R, Davies B, Pickard L

World Congress of Gerontology

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Reports

Report

The case for investment in technology to manage the global costs of dementia (2015)

Knapp M, Barlow J, Comas-Herrera A, Damant J, Freddolino P, Hamblin K, Hu B, Lorenz K, Perkins M, Rehill A, Wittenberg R, Woolham J

Policy Innovation Research Unit

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Report

The hidden cost of dementia in Wales (2015)

Hu B, Wittenberg R, Knapp M

Alzheimer's Society

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Report

Evaluation of Direct Payments in Residential Care Trailblazers - Interim Report (2015)

Ettelt S, Wittenberg R, Williams L, Perkins M, Lombard D, Damant J, Mays N

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Report

Understanding emergency hospital admission of older people (2014)

Wittenberg R, Sharpin L, McCormick B, Hurst J

Centre for Health Service Economics and Organisation

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Report

Dementia UK: The Second Edition (2014)

Prince M, Knapp M, Guerchet M, McCrone P, Prina M, Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Adelaja B, Hu B, King D, Rehill A, Salimkumar D

Alzheimer's Society

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Report

Scenarios of dementia care: what are the impacts on cost and quality of life? (2014)

Knapp M, Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Hu B, King D, Rehill A, Adelaja B

Personal Social Services Research Unit

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Report

Adult Social Care: Summary of the Research Plans of the Department of Health Policy Research Units and the Commissioned Research of the NIHR School for Social Care Research (2013)

Wittenberg R, Clark M

Policy Innovation Research Unit

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Report

Care for older people: projected expenditure to 2022 on social care and continuing health care for England older population, (2012)

Wittenberg R, Hu B, Comas-Herrera A, Fernández J-L

Nuffield Trust

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Report

Projections of Demand for and Costs of Social Care for Older People in England, 2010 to 2030, under Current and Alternative Funding Systems: Report to the Commission on Funding of Care and Support (2011)

Wittenberg R, Hu B, Hancock R, Morciano M, Comas-Herrera A, Malley J, King D

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Report

Future Demand for Social Care, 2005 to 2041: Projections of Demand for Social Care for Older People in England (2008)

Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Malley J, King D, Comas-Herrera A, Darton R

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Report

Future Demand for Social Care, 2005 to 2041: Projections of Demand for Social Care and Disability Benefits for Younger Adults in England (2008)

Wittenberg R, Malley J, Comas-Herrera A, Fernández J-L, King D, Snell T, Pickard L

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Report

Paying for Long-Term Care for Older People in the UK: Modelling the Costs and Distibutional Effects of a Range of Options (2007)

Hancock R, Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, Juarez-Garcia A, King D, Malley J

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Report

Paying for long-term care for older people in the UK: modelling the cost and incidence of a range of options, report to the Nuffield Foundation (2006)

Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, King D

Nuffield Foundation

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Report

Projections of demand for long-term care for older people in Wales to 2030, by local authority (2005)

Comas-Herrera A, Casado D, Wittenberg R, King D, Pickard L

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Report

Long-term Care Expenditure for Older People, Projections to 2022 for Great Britain (2005)

Malley J, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L, King D

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Report

Future demand for long-term care in the UK. A summary of projections of long-term care finance for older people to 2051 (2004)

Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L, Hancock R

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Report

Projections of demand for long-term care for older people in Wales to 2020 (2003)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L

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Report

European Study of Long-Term Care Expenditure: Investigating the sensitivity of projections of future long-term care expenditure in Germany, Spain, Italy and the UK to changes in assumptions about demography, dependency, informal/formal care and unit costs (2003)

Comas-Herrera A, Costa-Font J, Gori C, di Maio A, Patxot C, Pickard L, Pozzi A, Rothgang H, Wittenberg R

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Report

Projections of demand for residential care for older people in England to 2020 (2001)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L

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Project Outlines

Project Outline

Cognitive impairment in older people: its implications for future demand for services and costs. Executive Summary (2003)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Knapp M, MRC-CFAS

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Research Summaries

Research Summary

Paying for Long-Term Care for Older People in the UK: Modelling the costs and distributional effects of a range of options. PSSRU Research Summary 40 (2006)

Hancock R, Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Juarez-Garcia A, King D, Malley J

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Research Summary

Thirty-Five Years On: Future Demand for Long-Term Care in England. PSSRU Research Summary 35 (2006)

Comas-Herrera A, King D, Malley J, Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Darton R

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Research Summary

Thirty Years On: Future Demand for Long-Term Care in England (2003)

Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L, Wittenberg R

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DP or working papers

DP or working paper

Unmet social care needs in England: a feasibility study for evaluating support models for older people with low and moderate needs (2018)

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DP or working paper

Projections of Demand and Expenditure on Adult Social Care 2015 to 2040 (2018)

Wittenberg R, Hu B, Hancock R

Personal Social Services Research Unit

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DP or working paper

Projected Demand for Supported Housing in Great Britain 2015 to 2030 (2017)

Wittenberg R, Hu B

Personal Social Services Research Unit

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DP or working paper

Unpaid Care in England: Future Patterns and Potential Support Strategies (2016)

Brimblecombe N, Fernandez JL, Knapp M, Rehill A, Wittenberg R

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DP or working paper

Projections of Demand for and Costs of Social Care for Older People and Younger Adults in England, 2015 to 2035 (2015)

Wittenberg R, Hu B

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DP or working paper

Long-Term Care Funding in England: An Analysis of the Costs and Distributional Effects of Potential Reforms (2013)

Hancock R, Wittenberg R, Hu B, Morciano M, Comas-Herrera A

PSSRU Discussion Paper 2857, London School of Economics

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DP or working paper

Implications of setting eligibility criteria for adult social care service in England at moderate needs level (2013)

Fernández J-L, Snell T, Forder J, Wittenberg R

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DP or working paper

Projections of demand for social care and disability benefits for younger adults in England: report of research conducted for the Commission on Funding of Care and Support (2011)

Snell T, Wittenberg R, Fernandez J, Malley J, Comas Herrera A, King D

PSSRU Discussion Paper 2880/3, London School of Economics

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DP or working paper

Developing Improved Survey Questions on Older People's Receipt of, and Payment for, Formal and Informal Care (2010)

King D, Balarajan M, Blake M, Cheshire H, Darton R, Gray M, Hancock R, Henderson C, Jones A, Legard R, Malley J, Martin A, Morciano M, Mugford M, Pickard L, Shemilt I, Snell T, Wittenberg R

PSSRU Discussion Paper 2764, University of Kent and London School of Economics and Political Science

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DP or working paper

Projections of Demand for Residential Care for Older People in England - Report for BUPA (2010)

King D, Malley J, Wittenberg R, Darton R, Comas-Herrera A

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DP or working paper

Age Discrimination in Mental Health Services (2008)

Beecham J, Knapp M, Fernández J-L, Huxley P, Mangalore R, McCrone P, Snell T, Wittenberg R

PSSRU Discussion Paper 2536, London School of Economics

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DP or working paper

Projections of Owner Occupation Rates, House Values, Income and Financial Assets among Older People, UK, 2002-2022 (2006)

Hancock R, Juarez-Garcia A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, King D, Malley J

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DP or working paper

Future Demand for Long-term Care, 2002 to 2041: Projections of Demand for Older People in England (2006)

Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, King D, Malley J, Pickard L, Darton R

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Conference presentation outputs

Conference presentation output

Modelling an entitlement to long-term care in Europe: Projections for long-term care expenditure to 2050, Paper presented at 6th ESA Conference, Murcia, Spain (2003)

Pickard L, Comas-Herrera A, Costa-Font J, Gori C, di Maio A, Rothgang H, Wittenberg R

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Manuscripts

Manuscript

Projections of demand for long-term care in Norfolk to 2016 (2005)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, King D, Pickard L

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Manuscript

Projections of demand for long-term care in Worcestershire to 2011 (2005)

King D, Wittenberg R, Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L

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Manuscript

Making projections of long-term care: examples and methodological issues. (2003)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L

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Manuscript

Future Demand for Long-Term Care, 2001 to 2031: Projections of Demand for Long-Term Care for Older People in England (2003)

Comas-Herrera A, Pickard L, Wittenberg R, Davies B, Darton R

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Manuscript

Feasibility Study for a Survey of Privately-Funded Admissions to Residential and Nursing Homes. Final report (1999)

Netten A, Darton R, Wittenberg R, Costigan P, McGarry T, McKernan A

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Manuscript

Independent residential care home clients; a survey of lengths of stay and other characteristics (1992)

Wittenberg R, Smart S, Ivins C

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Generic publications

Generic

A new module of survey questions on older people's receipt of, and payment for, formal and informal care (2014)

Balarajan M, Blake M, Darton R, Gray M, Hancock R, Pickard L, Wittenberg R

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Generic

Cognitive impairment: its implications for future demand for services and costs (2001)

Comas-Herrera A, Wittenberg R, Pickard L, Knapp M, Davies B, MRC-CFAS

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